Volatilitas di Exness — Rentang Harian Terukur, Gap, dan Risiko per Lot · Indonesia
Rentang harian rata-rata, rezim volatilitas, gap akhir pekan, dan berapa dolar sebenarnya pergerakan satu lot — dihitung dari riwayat harga MT5 milik Exness sendiri. diukur 15 Nov · 14:46 WIB.
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| Instrumen | ADR (14 sesi) | ADR (50 sesi) | Rezim | Volatilitas terealisasi (disetahunkan) | Rata-rata gap akhir pekan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 67.1 pips | 57.7 pips | melebar (1.16) | 4.49% | 0.2 pips |
| GBP/USD | 71.5 pip | 64,8 pips | melebar (1.10) | 4.89% | 0.3 pips |
| USD/JPY | 83.4 pip | 88.9 pips | stabil (0.94) | 6.29% | 0.3 pips |
| AUD/USD | 54 pips | 43.8 pips | melebar (1.23) | 6.47% | 0.2 pips |
| USD/CAD | 62.6 pips | 53.5 pips | melebar (1.17) | 3.81% | 0.2 pips |
| USD/CHF | 61 pips | 48.8 pips | melebar (1.25) | 5.45% | 0.2 pips |
| NZD/USD | 50.6 pips | 39.9 pips | melebar (1.27) | 6.49% | 0.2 pips |
| EUR/GBP | 22,1 pip | 23.5 pips | stabil (0.94) | 2.25% | 0.3 pips |
| EUR/JPY | 101.8 pip | 103 pip | stabil (0.99) | 5.93% | 0.2 pips |
| GBP/JPY | 113 pips | 115.4 pips | stabil (0.98) | 5.74% | 0.3 pips |
| AUD/JPY | 90.8 pips | 80.3 pips | melebar (1.13) | 7.21% | 0.5 pips |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $88.70 | $71.49 | melebar (1.24) | 19.56% | $0.10 |
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $1.99 | $1.80 | melebar (1.10) | 35.76% | $0.01 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $4.02 | $3.54 | melebar (1.13) | 39.98% | $0.00 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $4.86 | $4.20 | melebar (1.16) | 45.37% | $0.97 |
| BTC/USD | $2,827.00 | $2,254.50 | melebar (1.25) | 34.49% | $1.17 |
| ETH/USD | $113.67 | $93.99 | menguat (1.21) | 42.74% | $0.07 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 136.8 poin | 87.6 poin | meluas (1.56) | 14.66% | 0.3 pts |
| US30 (Dow) | 907.3 poin | 629.8 poin | meluas (1.44) | 14.29% | 1.1 poin |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 834.0 poin | 559.6 pts | melebar (1.49) | 23.37% | 0.3 pts |
| DE30 (DAX) | 455.8 poin | 336.1 poin | melebar (1.36) | 15.01% | 6.5 poin |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 2,058.6 poin | 1,607.2 poin | melebar (1.28) | 31.69% | 5.5 pts |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 150.2 poin | 118.3 pts | melebar (1.27) | 12.11% | 5.2 pts |
ADR = rata-rata high–low harian. Rezim membandingkan 14 sesi terakhir dengan 50 sesi terakhir: pasar yang melebar membutuhkan stop lebih lebar dan ukuran lebih kecil; yang menyempit sebaliknya. Gap akhir pekan = rata-rata pembukaan Senin vs penutupan Jumat.
Risiko per lot — tentukan ukuran berdasarkan dolar, bukan lot
| Instrumen | ADR | Nilai 1 pip/pt ($/lot) | Ayunan harian tipikal per lot |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $1.99 | $50.00 | $9,930 |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $88.70 | $1.00 | $8,870 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $4.86 | $10.00 | $4,862 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $4.02 | $10.00 | $4,018 |
| BTC/USD | $2,827.00 | $0.01 | $2,827 |
| US30 (Dow) | 907.3 poin | $0.10 | $907 |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 834.0 poin | $0.01 | $834 |
| USD/CHF | 61 pips | $11.92 | $727 |
| GBP/USD | 71.5 pip | $10.00 | $715 |
| GBP/JPY | 113 pips | $6.26 | $708 |
| EUR/USD | 67.1 pips | $10.00 | $671 |
| EUR/JPY | 101.8 pip | $6.26 | $637 |
| AUD/JPY | 90.8 pips | $6.26 | $569 |
| AUD/USD | 54 pips | $10.00 | $540 |
| USD/JPY | 83.4 pip | $6.26 | $522 |
| NZD/USD | 50.6 pips | $10.00 | $506 |
| DE30 (DAX) | 455.8 poin | $0.11 | $502 |
| USD/CAD | 62.6 pips | $7.01 | $439 |
| EUR/GBP | 22,1 pip | $13.21 | $292 |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 150.2 poin | $0.0132 | $198 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 136.8 poin | $0.01 | $137 |
| ETH/USD | $113.67 | $0.01 | $114 |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 2,058.6 poin | $0.00063 | $13 |
‘1 lot’ yang sama membawa risiko yang sangat berbeda di setiap instrumen: dalam sampel ini, satu lot XAG/USD (Perak) bergerak sekitar $9,930 pada hari biasa dibandingkan $13 untuk JP225 (Nikkei 225) — kira-kira 766× eksposur hariannya. Ukuran posisi hanya dapat dibandingkan secara adil jika ditetapkan berdasarkan pergerakan dalam dolar, dan itulah yang dilakukan oleh kalkulator ukuran lot lakukan.
Rentang menurut hari kerja
| Instrumen | Senin | Selasa | Rabu | Kamis | Jumat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 59.5 pips | 53.7 pips | 70.4 pips | 64.2 pips | 58.1 pips |
| GBP/USD | 57.1 pips | 67.4 pips | 85,9 pip | 68 pips | 69 pips |
| USD/JPY | 109.5 pip | 89.2 pip | 102.1 pip | 107.7 pip | 124.7 pip |
| AUD/USD | 37.7 pips | 41.1 pips | 52.5 pips | 57,9 pip | 44.2 pips |
| USD/CAD | 50.1 pip | 62 pips | 70.1 pips | 50 pips | 63.3 pips |
| USD/CHF | 45,1 pips | 44.6 pips | 55.6 pips | 59 pips | 55.2 pips |
| NZD/USD | 39.3 pips | 44.3 pips | 55.6 pips | 42.8 pips | 40.6 pip |
| EUR/GBP | 24.2 pip | 20.1 pips | 25.7 pips | 26.3 pips | 24.4 pips |
| EUR/JPY | 118.8 pips | 102.3 pips | 97 pips | 132.9 pip | 140 pip |
| GBP/JPY | 119.2 pip | 118.6 pip | 125.9 pips | 153,5 pips | 153.2 pip |
| AUD/JPY | 80.8 pips | 76 pip | 80.2 pips | 115.7 pips | 94.4 pips |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $75.62 | $77.25 | $93.11 | $86.25 | $87.28 |
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $1.69 | $1.98 | $2.46 | $2.48 | $1.98 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $4.17 | $4.13 | $3.98 | $4.35 | $3.55 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $4.11 | $4.21 | $3.98 | $4.50 | $3.36 |
| BTC/USD | $2,589.09 | $2,090.74 | $2,724.16 | $3,105.47 | $2,708.77 |
| ETH/USD | $89.66 | $88.01 | $116.20 | $124.30 | $99.01 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 86.7 poin | 65.7 poin | 106.2 poin | 117,4 poin | 86.7 poin |
| US30 (Dow) | 505.2 poin | 589.4 poin | 806.7 poin | 817.1 poin | 693.7 poin |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 601.2 poin | 418.0 poin | 609.4 poin | 761.8 poin | 515.2 poin |
| DE30 (DAX) | 336.0 poin | 325.3 poin | 463.2 poin | 371.1 poin | 350.7 poin |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 1,467.9 poin | 1,457.1 poin | 1,921.7 poin | 2,283.6 poin | 1,736.7 poin |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 120.0 pts | 122.0 poin | 149.3 poin | 153.0 poin | 119.2 pts |
Rata-rata rentang harian menurut hari dalam seminggu selama jendela ADR. Perbedaannya bersifat indikatif — minggu dengan berita mengacak ulang angka-angka tersebut.
Bagaimana ini diukur
- Rentang harian, gap, dan harga penutupan yang dibaca dari riwayat D1 pada feed MT5 milik Exness sendiri.
- Volatilitas terealisasi yang disetahunkan dari imbal hasil harian close-to-close.
- Ayunan dolar per lot = ADR × nilai per-pip kontrak dari spesifikasi simbol.
- Rentang masa lalu tidak memprediksi rentang masa depan; angka diperbarui sesuai jadwal.
Diukur langsung di dalam terminal pada feed harga dan spesifikasi simbol MetaTrader 5 milik Exness sendiri, diperbarui secara terjadwal. Semua angka bersifat indikatif dan berubah mengikuti kondisi pasar.
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