Volatilitas di Exness — Rentang Harian Terukur, Gap, dan Risiko per Lot · Indonesia
Rentang harian rata-rata, rezim volatilitas, gap akhir pekan, dan berapa dolar sebenarnya pergerakan satu lot — dihitung dari riwayat harga MT5 milik Exness sendiri. Diukur 1 Okt · 14:50 WIB.
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| Instrumen | ADR (14 sesi) | ADR (50 sesi) | Rezim | Volatilitas terealisasi (disetahunkan) | Rata-rata gap akhir pekan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 44.6 pips | 39.6 pips | melebar (1.13) | 4.08% | 0.2 pips |
| GBP/USD | 61.2 pips | 50,3 pips | melebar (1.22) | 4.3% | 0.3 pips |
| USD/JPY | 112.6 pip | 104,3 pip | melebar (1.08) | 9.21% | 0.2 pips |
| AUD/USD | 39.9 pips | 36.2 pips | melebar (1.10) | 5.9% | 0.1 pips |
| USD/CAD | 40.9 pips | 47.6 pips | menyempit (0.86) | 3.93% | 0.1 pips |
| USD/CHF | 42.4 pip | 43.9 pips | stabil (0.97) | 6.37% | 0.2 pips |
| NZD/USD | 37.4 pips | 36.3 pips | stabil (1.03) | 6.44% | 0.2 pips |
| EUR/GBP | 20.6 pips | 17.8 pip | melebar (1.16) | 2.25% | 0.1 pips |
| EUR/JPY | 107.5 pips | 95.7 pips | melebar (1,12) | 7.7% | 0.3 pips |
| GBP/JPY | 126.8 pips | 116 pips | melebar (1.09) | 7.78% | 0.4 pips |
| AUD/JPY | 80,4 pip | 71.5 pip | melebar (1,12) | 7.86% | 0.2 pips |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $75.72 | $87.92 | menyempit (0.86) | 23.21% | $0.09 |
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $1.91 | $2.18 | menyusut (0.88) | 36.25% | $0.01 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $3.77 | $3.12 | menguat (1.21) | 41.61% | $0.00 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $4.20 | $3.66 | melebar (1.15) | 51.34% | $1.86 |
| BTC/USD | $2,413.16 | $2,398.57 | stabil (1.01) | 34.74% | $1.19 |
| ETH/USD | $94.53 | $99.98 | stabil (0.95) | 47.3% | $0.10 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 66.5 pts | 59.5 poin | melebar (1,12) | 9.97% | 0.3 pts |
| US30 (Dow) | 529.1 poin | 452.4 poin | melebar (1.17) | 10.63% | 1.3 poin |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 399.1 poin | 379.0 poin | stabil (1.05) | 17.1% | 0.5 pts |
| DE30 (DAX) | 300.3 poin | 240.3 poin | melebar (1.25) | 10.7% | 5.0 pts |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 1,306.6 poin | 1,419.8 poin | menyempit (0.92) | 24.59% | 5.2 pts |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 108.9 poin | 89.2 poin | melebar (1.22) | 8.73% | 11.7 pts |
ADR = rata-rata high–low harian. Rezim membandingkan 14 sesi terakhir dengan 50 sesi terakhir: pasar yang melebar membutuhkan stop lebih lebar dan ukuran lebih kecil; yang menyempit sebaliknya. Gap akhir pekan = rata-rata pembukaan Senin vs penutupan Jumat.
Risiko per lot — tentukan ukuran berdasarkan dolar, bukan lot
| Instrumen | ADR | Nilai 1 pip/pt ($/lot) | Ayunan harian tipikal per lot |
|---|---|---|---|
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $1.91 | $50.00 | $9,545 |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $75.72 | $1.00 | $7,572 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $4.20 | $10.00 | $4,200 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $3.77 | $10.00 | $3,771 |
| BTC/USD | $2,413.16 | $0.01 | $2,413 |
| GBP/JPY | 126.8 pips | $6.32 | $801 |
| USD/JPY | 112.6 pip | $6.32 | $711 |
| EUR/JPY | 107.5 pips | $6.32 | $679 |
| GBP/USD | 61.2 pips | $10.00 | $612 |
| US30 (Dow) | 529.1 poin | $0.10 | $529 |
| USD/CHF | 42.4 pip | $11.98 | $508 |
| AUD/JPY | 80,4 pip | $6.32 | $508 |
| EUR/USD | 44.6 pips | $10.00 | $446 |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 399.1 poin | $0.01 | $399 |
| AUD/USD | 39.9 pips | $10.00 | $399 |
| NZD/USD | 37.4 pips | $10.00 | $374 |
| DE30 (DAX) | 300.3 poin | $0.113 | $339 |
| USD/CAD | 40.9 pips | $7.02 | $287 |
| EUR/GBP | 20.6 pips | $13.23 | $273 |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 108.9 poin | $0.0132 | $144 |
| ETH/USD | $94.53 | $0.01 | $95 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 66.5 pts | $0.01 | $67 |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 1,306.6 poin | $0.00063 | $8 |
‘1 lot’ yang sama membawa risiko yang sangat berbeda di setiap instrumen: dalam sampel ini, satu lot XAG/USD (Perak) bergerak sekitar $9,545 pada hari biasa dibandingkan $8 untuk JP225 (Nikkei 225) — kira-kira 1,160× eksposur harian. Ukuran posisi hanya dapat dibandingkan secara adil jika ditentukan berdasarkan pergerakan dalam dolar, yang merupakan fungsi dari kalkulator ukuran lot lakukan.
Rentang menurut hari kerja
| Instrumen | Senin | Selasa | Rabu | Kamis | Jumat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 42 pips | 35.4 pips | 63.5 pips | 50.7 pips | 54.6 pip |
| GBP/USD | 51,5 pip | 41.7 pips | 79.4 pips | 67,2 pip | 65.5 pips |
| USD/JPY | 130.2 pips | 73 pips | 112 pips | 169.7 pips | 150.9 pips |
| AUD/USD | 34.1 pips | 37.1 pips | 50,9 pips | 45.8 pips | 44.6 pips |
| USD/CAD | 48,7 pips | 44.3 pips | 72.1 pips | 49,5 pips | 58.6 pips |
| USD/CHF | 40,1 pip | 35.3 pips | 62.9 pips | 63.5 pips | 50.1 pip |
| NZD/USD | 34 pips | 39.8 pips | 54.4 pips | 46.3 pips | 40,2 pip |
| EUR/GBP | 20.7 pips | 16.3 pip | 22.6 pips | 21.6 pips | 19.3 pip |
| EUR/JPY | 126.2 pips | 77.2 pips | 95.7 pips | 151.5 pips | 149.6 pip |
| GBP/JPY | 152.1 pips | 86.1 pips | 129.8 pip | 185 pips | 172.1 pip |
| AUD/JPY | 87 pips | 71.9 pips | 73.6 pip | 100.4 pips | 99.9 pips |
| XAU/USD (Emas) | $78.78 | $85.88 | $120.70 | $97.61 | $104.91 |
| XAG/USD (Perak) | $2.02 | $2.30 | $2.73 | $2.65 | $2.59 |
| US Oil (WTI) | $3.41 | $4.38 | $3.20 | $4.12 | $3.07 |
| UK Oil (Brent) | $3.69 | $4.16 | $3.28 | $3.99 | $3.08 |
| BTC/USD | $2,739.15 | $2,059.87 | $2,431.03 | $2,453.03 | $3,436.62 |
| ETH/USD | $93.24 | $80.91 | $121.24 | $84.64 | $133.32 |
| US500 (S&P 500) | 65.2 pts | 70.0 poin | 85.2 pts | 87.3 poin | 66.9 poin |
| US30 (Dow) | 411.8 pts | 594.6 poin | 661.2 pts | 622.9 poin | 488.7 poin |
| USTEC (Nasdaq 100) | 489.9 poin | 502.6 poin | 477.1 poin | 552,4 poin | 386.5 pts |
| DE30 (DAX) | 263.1 poin | 306.3 poin | 318.4 poin | 284.9 poin | 290.3 pts |
| JP225 (Nikkei 225) | 1,549.7 poin | 1,876.2 poin | 1,763.7 poin | 1,666.5 poin | 1,632.8 poin |
| UK100 (FTSE 100) | 93.1 poin | 110.4 poin | 123.5 poin | 116.2 poin | 120,7 poin |
Rata-rata rentang harian menurut hari dalam seminggu selama jendela ADR. Perbedaannya bersifat indikatif — minggu dengan berita mengacak ulang angka-angka tersebut.
Bagaimana ini diukur
- Rentang harian, gap, dan harga penutupan yang dibaca dari riwayat D1 pada feed MT5 milik Exness sendiri.
- Volatilitas terealisasi yang disetahunkan dari imbal hasil harian close-to-close.
- Ayunan dolar per lot = ADR × nilai per-pip kontrak dari spesifikasi simbol.
- Rentang masa lalu tidak memprediksi rentang masa depan; angka diperbarui sesuai jadwal.
Diukur langsung di dalam terminal pada feed harga dan spesifikasi simbol MetaTrader 5 milik Exness sendiri, diperbarui secara terjadwal. Semua angka bersifat indikatif dan berubah mengikuti kondisi pasar.
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